… First, some good news for the polls: Assuming current results hold, the only states where presidential polling averages got the winners wrong will be Florida, North Carolina and the 2nd Congressional District in Maine. … The better way to evaluate polls is how close they come on vote margins, […] Read more »
Nearly 80% of Americans say Biden won White House
Nearly 80% of Americans, including more than half of Republicans, recognize President-elect Joe Biden as the winner of the Nov. 3 election after most media organizations called the race for the Democrat based on his leads in critical battleground states, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. … The results were somewhat […] Read more »
2020 and what comes after in our politics
Conversations with Bill Kristol: On the 2020 elections, the fault lines in our divided electorate, and the challenges faced by both parties going forward. Bill Kristol speaks with Ron Brownstein. Read more »
The dramatic shifts in the 2020 election, visualized
… Preliminary county-level results show how the average margins in both urban and suburban counties were friendlier to Biden than they had been to Hillary Clinton four years ago, even as rural votes shifted more to the right. That suburban shift was critical: It is estimated that nearly half of […] Read more »
America Decided … America’s Divided: Everything Changed and Nothing Changed
Political analysis, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONT. — pdf The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Biden-voting counties equal 70% of America’s economy. What does this mean for the nation’s political-economic divide?
Even with a new president and political party soon in charge of the White House, the nation’s economic standoff continues. Notwithstanding President-elect Joe Biden’s solid popular vote victory, last week’s election failed to deliver the kind of transformative reorientation of the nation’s political-economic map that Democrats (and some Republicans) had […] Read more »