The final projections for the 2020 election brought with them a new electoral map, one that highlights the changing shape of America and the divisions that now define the Democratic and Republican parties in the Trump era. … One major question is whether, without Trump on the ballot in the […] Read more »
How Republicans pulled off a big upset and nearly took back the House
There seemed to be one safe bet when it came to the 2020 election results: Democrats would easily hold on to their majority in the House of Representatives. Not only that, but the conventional wisdom held that Democrats would pick up more than the 235 seats they won in the […] Read more »
America is exceptional in the nature of its political divide
… The studies we’ve conducted at Pew Research Center over the past few years illustrate the increasingly stark disagreement between Democrats and Republicans on the economy, racial justice, climate change, law enforcement, international engagement and a long list of other issues. The 2020 presidential election further highlighted these deep-seated divides. […] Read more »
Philadelphia’s Suburbs Helped Deliver Crucial Pennsylvania For Biden
President Trump’s surrogates spent Saturday at a landscaping firm in northeast Philadelphia, making unsubstantiated claims of rampant voter fraud in the city. But it was Philadelphia’s suburbs and their continued shift to Democrats that helped seal Pennsylvania — and the election — for President-elect Joe Biden. The four counties that […] Read more »
Understanding how 2020 election polls performed and what it might mean for other kinds of survey work
Taken in the aggregate, preelection polls in the United States pointed to the strong likelihood that Democrat Joe Biden would pick up several states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 and, in the process, win a popular and electoral vote majority over Republican President Donald Trump. That indeed came to […] Read more »
Next Stop: Georgia
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the composition of the U.S. government literally hangs in the balance with two U.S. Senate race runoffs in Georgia serving as arbiters. As time elapses from Election Day to January, what are the challenges for both parties? Then, Pfizer’s announcement of a potentially […] Read more »