The Electoral College ensures that every four years the race for the White House comes down to a few state battlegrounds that ultimately decide the winner. But those battlegrounds can change and in the last five presidential elections they have moved more than people think. This year there were eight […] Read more »
With Trench Warfare Deepening, Parties Face Unsettled Electoral Map
… With 306 Electoral College votes and the most popular votes of any presidential candidate in history, Mr. Biden attained a victory that was paramount to many Democrats, who saw a second Trump term as nothing less than a threat to democracy. Yet on the electoral landscape, both parties find […] Read more »
Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker on ‘shy Trump voters,’ polls and the 2020 election
The 2020 presidential election is (mostly) in the books and the political world is once again fiercely debating a familiar question from 2016: What went wrong with public-opinion polls in a number of key battleground states? One poll that came out looking pretty good was the Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 […] Read more »
Election Night Survey: Hidden Trump voters exist, and other key findings
… This election was a referendum on President Trump, and considering the President’s 46%-52% approval score, it did not turn out well for him. While the President scored well with rural voters, evangelicals, lower educated Americans and Hispanic men, his failure to hit his numbers among Independents, especially Independent men, […] Read more »
Trump’s racist appeals powered a White evangelical tsunami
As partisans and analysts puzzle over the higher-than-expected turnout for President Trump (nearly 6 million fewer votes than for President-elect Joe Biden, but still high), they are poring over groups and subgroups: White, non-college-educated men. Suburban women. Young Black men. But much of the Trump 2020 phenomenon can be explained […] Read more »
How a post-election crisis was manufactured in Pennsylvania
It was the nightmare scenario everyone saw coming: a nail-biter presidential election that was too close to call on election night, with the entire world forced to patiently wait on slow results from Pennsylvania as it sifted through millions of mail-in ballots. … The delay was largely caused by Republican […] Read more »