A month after the presidential election, President Trump’s claim that the election was rigged to benefit Joe Biden has been debunked by numerous Republican state elections officials. Dozens of lawsuits filed by the Trump campaign and its proxies have been rejected by judges in both state and federal courts. There […] Read more »
Biden’s already more popular than Trump’s ever been
A new Gallup poll finds that President-elect Joe Biden has a 55% favorable rating and a 41% unfavorable rating. The same poll gives President Donald Trump a 42% favorable rating and a 57% unfavorable rating. … The 2020 election was, like almost every election involving an incumbent, mostly about voters’ […] Read more »
Are close presidential elections the new normal?
More than a month after Election Day, the biggest political story for many Americans is how close the presidential race was. President-elect Joe Biden won by more than 4 points, but polls and some observers were expecting a larger win in the 10-point range. Taking a longer view, however, the […] Read more »
Trump-Biden 2020: The polls were off, but they’re not crystal balls and aren’t meant to be.
There are plenty of headlines proclaiming disaster for the polling field. In the last two election cycles, preelection polls have underestimated electoral support for President Donald Trump. In 2016, the problem seemed to be isolated to polls in specific states. In 2020, although vote totals are not certified, it’s clear […] Read more »
Why the polls weren’t as wrong as you think
Voters who decided to back a presidential candidate at the last minute and an unprecedented, pandemic-induced surge of mail-in and absentee ballots across the country confounded pollsters trying to measure public opinion in the days leading up to November’s elections. But as the slow vote tallies continue to amass, while […] Read more »
How Republicans live in a bubble, too
Following Hillary Clinton’s loss in the 2016 election, there was a lot of talk how the Democrats lived in a bubble. They failed to see President Donald Trump’s win coming and nominated someone who lost to the least-liked candidate of all time. Well, now it is clear that the shoe […] Read more »