Even as the White House this week firmly insists President Donald Trump is determined to seek a second term, a new analysis of polling data shows that he’s caught in a three-way political squeeze in the states that tipped the 2016 presidential race, and will likely decide the 2020 contest. […] Read more »
In 47 states, a smaller part of the population now approves of Trump than voted for him
… Using interviews conducted over Trump’s first six months in office — during which his approval slipped slightly nationally — Gallup determined the average approval in each of the 50 states. It’s worth noting that in 47 of the states, Trump’s approval rating is now below the percentage of the […] Read more »
An Early Look at Democrats’ 2020 Brackets
We’re only 140 days into a new presidential administration and yet there is already a stream of articles speculating about the contest for the 2020 Democratic nomination. There is a side of me that believes it is much too soon to start talking about that, but this conversation is already […] Read more »
Emboldened by Trump but Divided by Generations, Democrats Look to 2020
A vast array of Democratic leaders, divided by generations but uniformly emboldened by President Trump’s perceived vulnerability, have begun taking palpable steps toward seeking the White House in an election that is still three and a half years away. … In a largely leaderless party, two distinct groups are emerging, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: President Trump’s first 100 days getting mixed reviews
A Fox News Poll taken as the Trump administration nears its 100-day milestone gives mixed messages to the president. President Trump’s job ratings are underwater by three percentage points. Currently 45 percent approve of the job he’s doing. That’s down slightly from the 48 percent approval he received when he […] Read more »
How Trump Is Reshaping Both Parties
… Two of the many key things to watch as 2017 unfolds are whether a coherent opposition or resistance to Trump develops in the Republican Party, and whether the centrist/moderately liberal wing of the Democratic Party experiences a revival. It took three consecutive presidential defeats to Reagan and George H.W. […] Read more »