Results from the 2018 Midterm NALEO Educational Fund/Latino Decisions Weekly Political Tracking Poll offer exclusive insights into the Latino electorate’s views on the 2020 presidential election. The poll was conducted by Latino Decisions from September 1 – November 4, 2018, in total 2,767 Latino registered voters were surveyed, which carries […] Read more »
What Effects Will California’s Earlier Primary Have on the 2020 Presidential Election?
Though only modestly discussed in the national media, California’s primary election will figure heavily in the Democratic 2020 presidential nomination process. That’s because California, normally an afterthought in presidential nominations with its June primary, has moved its contest to March 3rd. This could have a number of large effects on […] Read more »
The foundation of Trump’s coalition is cracking
Cracks have emerged in Donald Trump’s hold on his core constituency of white working class voters, new data from the 2018 election reveal. Though Republican candidates almost everywhere registered large margins among white voters without a college degree, Democrats ran much more competitively among the roughly half of that group […] Read more »
2020 Democratic primary: California and Texas look to become the new Iowa and New Hampshire
A little over a year from now, millions of Californians will be mailed their ballots on the same day that Iowans head to their famous first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses. They could start mailing them back before New Hampshire holds its first-in-the-nation primary in 2020. Meanwhile, Texans will likely have a chance […] Read more »
What 2018 Tells Us About 2020
… For all of the talk just a few months ago that President Trump might be tough for Democrats to beat, the size of this likely Democratic field is testament to the perceived value of the 2020 Democratic nomination. … Consistently, Gallup polling has shown a ratio of at least […] Read more »
Where Republicans, Democrats Stand Heading Into 2019
As we enter a two-year presidential cycle, the parties stand at very different places. Republicans appear unified behind President Donald Trump, while Democrats are about to begin a contest for a 2020 nominee that will inevitably degenerate into Democrats attacking Democrats. But while the GOP is unified, the party just […] Read more »