I’m not going to mince words here. Early horse race polls are silly. Tracking ‘movement’ among a bunch of potential 2020 candidates a year of out from when voters go the polls is an utter waste of time. However, while the head-to-head numbers are irrelevant, it is useful to mine […] Read more »
Donald Trump is well positioned to fend off a primary challenge in 2020
President Donald Trump continues to look in prime position to win his party’s nomination for president in 2020. While Republicans such as John Kasich may run, a look at the numbers reveals they have a tough road ahead of them. CNN’s latest Iowa poll shows little room for a successful […] Read more »
Republicans seek to expand Trump’s support for 2020, but will the president cooperate?
Republican allies of President Trump are researching new ways to position him in the run-up to the 2020 election, particularly among the college-educated suburbanites who voted for Democrats in November because of their disapproval of the president. One polling effort is intended to test messages and policy initiatives for the […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s 2020 chances might be stronger than we think
Former Vice President Joe Biden is thinking about running for president, yet few seem to think he’s the frontrunner for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. The reasons to be suspect are plenty including his record (fairly mainstream in a party moving to the left), his age (he’s 76) and the […] Read more »
The comically large 2020 Democratic field, explained
Vox’s internal tracking document of who is “considering” running for president currently includes 34 names on the Democratic side. … So why, then, do so many Democrats think it’s worth trying? Because President Donald Trump is unpopular, and because there’s no clear Democratic figure in line for the nomination. These […] Read more »
Iowa Poll: Republicans back the President, but welcome challengers
Two-thirds of Iowa’s Republican voters say they would definitely vote to re-elect Trump if the general election were held today, but nearly as many say the state’s party ought to welcome challengers to the President to Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses, according to a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, […] Read more »