As more Democrats propose moving beyond the Affordable Care Act, the party may be steaming toward the same iceberg that sank Republican efforts to repeal the law. The GOP’s drive to rescind the ACA ran aground in part because it pitted the party’s predominant ideology against the material interests of […] Read more »
Is There Room in 2020 for a Centrist Democrat? Maybe One or Two
Howard Schultz, the former Starbucks chief executive contemplating an independent run for president, stated it as a plain matter of fact: For someone with his views — a distinctly white-collar blend of conservative fiscal instincts and liberal social values — there is no suitable political party. That would come as […] Read more »
The Democrats’ choice: The midterm elections and the road to 2020
The 2016 presidential election gave Democrats a painful reminder that the path to the White House runs through the rough terrain of the Electoral College. Despite enjoying a popular vote margin of nearly 3 million, the Democratic ticket won only 20 states with 232 electoral votes, compared to the 30 […] Read more »
An early look at the 2020 electorate
The 2020 U.S. presidential election is rapidly coming into view – and so is the electorate that will determine its outcome. While demographic changes unfold slowly, it’s already clear that the 2020 electorate will be unique in several ways. Nonwhites will account for a third of eligible voters – their […] Read more »
Trump is facing historically bad numbers for re-election in 2020
President Donald Trump is no stranger to bad poll numbers. His net approval rating (approval rating minus disapproval rating) has consistently been negative. But that figure on its own doesn’t necessarily mean Trump will be defeated in 2020. As conservative commentators like Newt Gingrich and Hugh Hewitt have correctly pointed […] Read more »
Many Challenges Inhibit An Independent White House Bid
Rachel Martin talks to political scientist Brendan Nyhan of the University of Michigan about the long odds against independent political candidates. Morning Edition, NPR Read more »