From much of the media coverage these days, you would think that the undisputed leaders of the Democratic Party are freshman Rep. Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez and—of course—Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, even though the constituents that elected them are limited to the 14th District of New York and the states […] Read more »
New Hampshire Poll Shows Potential Problems for Trump a Year Out from 2020 Presidential Primary Season
With nearly 40 percent of likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire saying they would welcome a primary challenger to President Trump, a new poll by the University of Massachusetts Amherst could highlight potential problems for the president. Thirty-nine percent of likely Republican voters in the Granite State said they […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Will Hit Huge Obstacles in 2020
Bernie Sanders’s entry into the 2020 race amounts to a big stone in a lake: It will generate ripples that touch every other candidate. But his own path to the nomination remains rocky unless he can attract a broader coalition than he did in 2016. Whether or not Sanders claims […] Read more »
Biden Leads in UMass Amherst Poll of New Hampshire Voters One Year Before Primary Voting
A year out from the New Hampshire presidential primary, former Vice President Joe Biden, who has yet to declare whether he will run for president in 2020, is the early preferred Democratic nominee among likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State, according to a new poll released today by […] Read more »
Initial 2020 House race ratings are here
After losing a net of 40 House seats in last year’s midterms, Republicans have plenty of offensive opportunities in 2020. But winning back the majority will not be easy. On paper, the path back to 218 may look simple for Team GOP because it winds through favorable territory. There are […] Read more »
Broad disapproval of Trump’s national emergency mirrors a critical 2020 problem for Trump
We’re pretty far down a tricky path for President Trump, whose promises on the 2016 campaign trail to build a wall on the border with Mexico were never likely to come to fruition given the process for getting legislation passed by Congress. … During the past two months, the bumpiness […] Read more »