Former Vice President Joe Biden remains the biggest question mark of the 2020 primary season. He leads his Democratic competitors in primary polls, has a number of potential surrogates waiting in the wings and has a clear general election polling lead over President Donald Trump in a cycle in which […] Read more »
How To Rate A Trump Challenger
One big question about 2020 is whether President Trump will face a serious primary challenger for the Republican presidential nomination. … In the modern presidential primary era, three incumbents have experienced what we’d consider a serious primary challenge: Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush. And in all three […] Read more »
Rust Belt, Sun Belt or Both? Democrats Seek the Best Route to the White House
At the very first event of her first full day in Iowa as a presidential candidate, Senator Kamala Harris was greeted by a Democratic voter who delivered a pointed recommendation about the best path to the White House. The voter, Rahul Parsa, who teaches at Iowa State University’s business school, […] Read more »
Trump’s Secret to Victory in 2020: Hispanic Voters
… It’s easy to assume that all Hispanic-Americans must detest and disapprove of the president who derides and vilifies immigrants coming across the southern border. But that hasn’t been the reality. Hispanics make up a large, diverse population that does not act as a monolith. As a whole, Hispanic-Americans are […] Read more »
Kamala Harris’s plan to crush 2020 rivals on her home turf
As she moves swiftly to build a juggernaut in her home state, California Sen. Kamala Harris is revealing what looks like an audacious strategy for delivering a mortal blow to her rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination next March. It relies on her geographical edge at home, her perceived demographic […] Read more »
Nobody Knows Who Will Be the 2020 Presidential Nominees
Peter D. Hart, the respected Democratic pollster who has perfected his trade through his work in the past 15 presidential campaigns, candidly warns against the predictive value of polls taken this far ahead of any presidential election. At this stage, so long before voters actually vote, according to Hart, poll […] Read more »