A year and a half before the 2020 presidential election, President Donald Trump faces formidable obstacles in his bid for re-election, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Just four in 10 voters say they would re-elect him next year; 58 percent don’t think he’s been honest and […] Read more »
Elizabeth Warren continues to underperform among voters who know her best
… A University of New Hampshire poll finds Sen. Bernie Sanders leading the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary with 26% to former Vice President Joe Biden’s 22%. Sen. Kamala Harris rounds out the top three with 10%. Sen. Elizabeth Warren comes in fourth with 7%. This mostly mirrors the average […] Read more »
How Jay Inslee Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
In his 2020 presidential announcement video, two-term Washington Governor Jay Inslee declares that climate change is the “most urgent challenge of our time.” Inslee intends to make climate change his signature issue. … But putting climate change ahead of all other issues could be risky, Stanford University psychologist Jon Krosnick […] Read more »
Jay Inslee wants to win the White House on climate change. He has his work cut out for him
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee is making man-made climate change a cornerstone of his 2020 presidential candidacy. For many Democrats, it is an issue near to their heart. According to a Pew Research Center poll taken last year, 75% of Democrats say human activity is causing climate change. All the major […] Read more »
Incumbent Problems? The metric used to determine the viability of a primary challenge to a sitting president
Speculation of a Republican primary challenge to President Donald Trump lurks as he prepares for his reelection campaign. In this episode of Poll Hub, we turn a historical eye to incumbent primary challenges and explain why approval rating matters but not in the conventional sense. Then, the number of pets […] Read more »
Why the Senate Is the Big 2020 Story
Just about everyone interested in American politics these days is focused on what Special Counsel Robert Mueller is expected to do in the coming weeks, along with the unfolding presidential contest. To the extent there is any remaining political bandwidth, it’s mostly on the U.S. House, where Republicans would need […] Read more »