An 8-point jump in support for California Sen. Kamala Harris stands out in a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS that shows a field of four in double digits in the race for the Democratic nomination for president. Former Vice President Joe Biden (28%) and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (20%) […] Read more »
Trump’s 2020 map from hell
Recent polling in a slew of states that carried President Trump to his thin win in 2016 show him starting 2020 in a deep hole. What’s new: Based on demographic changes, Republicans for the first time have authentic worries about Arizona, Georgia, Texas and other states they once took for […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Not So Daily Briefing
The White House Correspondents’ Association is probably best known for its annual black tie scholarship dinner. However, the organization’s mission is to defend a free press and to ensure journalists have the resources required to effectively cover the White House. In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Olivier Knox, President […] Read more »
Filling Out the 2020 Dem Bracket
… There are a lot of ways to frame an early look at a presidential nomination contest. One comparison is the NCAA basketball tournament: The objective is to make it into the Final Four next March and then hope for the best. At this point, we are roughly at the […] Read more »
Howard Schultz hasn’t thought any of this through
Howard Schultz, the former Starbucks chief executive and possible independent presidential candidate, has made himself a piñata for the wonkier parts of political journalism. Schultz’s basic idea seems to be that President Trump is bad, socialism is bad, the system is broken, and an independent Business Man will be able […] Read more »
Ignore the Polls. Trump Has a Shrewd Strategy to Win Back the White House in 2020
… “Nationalist populism,” a phenomenon that’s lifted many a lesser-known politician to prominence on both sides of the Atlantic, takes a slightly different form in the U.S. from that of Europe. In countries like France, Italy and Germany, it is national identity that tends to separate “us vs. them.” Race […] Read more »