President Trump’s immigration policies have been a failure. His goal of sealing the border has come to naught, and a mass of asylum seekers has overwhelmed the system. Trump has sought to blame others, including the Democrats, for the problem. Democrats cry foul, but they too struggle for an effective […] Read more »
Why is Elizabeth Warren struggling? Democrats aren’t looking for policy.
… A new Quinnipiac University poll of California Democratic and Democratic leaning independents finds that former Vice President Joe Biden leads a potential primary with 26%, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders at 18%, Sen. Kamala Harris at 17% and Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 7% each. … […] Read more »
With Polls and Private Meetings, Republicans Craft Blunt Messaging to Paint Democrats as Extreme
Republican leaders are sharpening and poll-testing lines of attack that portray Democratic policies on health care, the environment and abortion as far outside the norm, in hopes of arming President Trump with hyperbolic sound bites — some of them false — asserting that Democrats would cause long waits for doctors […] Read more »
Here’s why you can’t discount Joe Biden’s early polling lead
A big question surrounding Joe Biden’s likely candidacy is whether his polling lead is built upon merely being well known. If it is, then you can expect other candidates to pass him once voters become more familiar with them. After all, Biden is a former vice president, and most of […] Read more »
The GOP’s Senate Firewall
A palpable nervousness is taking hold among Republicans as they look ahead to the 2020 elections, and the word “firewall” is coming up frequently in the same sentence as “Senate.” Republicans certainly could still pick up the 18 seats needed for a House majority—it’s not an enormous number—and President Trump […] Read more »
The Democratic Nomination: It Doesn’t Have to be a Long Slog
Key Points • The size of the Democratic field, combined with the party’s proportional allocation of delegates and other factors, raises the possibility of a very long nomination process that may not be decided until the convention. • However, the voting calendar is so frontloaded that a nominee may emerge […] Read more »