More than three-quarters of voters are already interested in the 2020 presidential election, including over half, 52 percent, who are “extremely” interested, according to the latest Fox News Poll. That matches interest levels typically seen only in the last weeks before Election Day. … Democratic primary voters are upbeat about […] Read more »
Trump’s Primary Goal: Avoiding a New Hampshire Hiccup
• President Trump remains a huge favorite to win renomination as the Republican presidential nominee, although he will have at least some opposition. • The New Hampshire primary has historically tested the strength of presidential incumbents. • In the primary’s modern history, incumbents who won easy victories went on to […] Read more »
If Trump Country Soars, Will the President Glide to a Second Term?
In small but politically significant ways, the economy under President Trump has favored regions and constituencies that supported him in 2016. These are the men and women whom Trump called forgotten Americans. The emerging pattern of economic growth reverses a trend that held from the 2008 recession to 2016, in […] Read more »
Why the press may overestimate Pete Buttigieg’s support
News junkies are more than familiar with South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg. After all, the articles on him (such as this one) from the national media seem to keep at a brisk pace. He’s now a clear number 2 in cable news mentions. But why? Part of it has […] Read more »
National Poll Shows Biden, Sanders, O’Rourke, and Castro Ahead With Latino Voters in Lead Up to 2020
Less than 10 months before the 2020 primaries and caucuses begin, the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund and Latino Decisions today released the results of a new national poll of Latino registered voters. Results from the NALEO Educational Fund/Latino Decisions Spring 2019 National Poll […] Read more »
A President of the People or a President of His People?
In the last couple of weeks, President Trump repeatedly called his enemies “treasonous.” He threatened to punish Democrats by dumping migrants in their districts. He promoted a video tying a Muslim congresswoman to images of the Sept. 11 terrorist attack on the World Trade Center. The message seems clear and […] Read more »