After announcing his presidential campaign last week, Joe Biden jumped to the front of the pack in FiveThirtyEight’s endorsement tracker. He also raised the most money of any candidate in the first 24 hours after kickoff. CONT. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Can Bill Weld unseat Trump? Let’s look at the history of challenges to incumbent presidents.
Recently, Massachusetts’ former Republican governor Bill Weld announced he will challenge President Trump in the Republican primaries for the 2020 election. … Before Weld, all nomination challengers have come from the parties’ ideological extremes: insurgent Democrats who accuse their presidents of straying from New Deal and Great Society liberalism, or […] Read more »
Populist economic frustration threatens Trump’s strongest reelection issue, Post-ABC poll finds
President Trump’s strongest case for reelection remains the country’s healthy economy, but the potency of that issue for him is complicated by a widespread belief that the economy mainly benefits people already in power, a Washington Post-ABC News poll finds. The result previews a fresh wave of populism that could […] Read more »
As in 2018, health care ranks among Trump’s 2020 challenges
The key issue of the 2018 midterms may stick around to trouble President Donald Trump in 2020: Americans, by a 17-point margin, say his handling of health care makes them more likely to oppose than support him for a second term. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
The Fickle Over the Faithful
… A 2017 study by Johns Hopkins University researchers Stephen L. Morgan and Jiwon Lee, which was published in the Sociological Science journal, found that non-Hispanic white voters totaled 69.3 percent of the electorate in 2016. The percentage of that total who were working class was just 18.6 percent. Conversely, […] Read more »
Can a woman beat Trump? Some Democrats wonder if it’s worth the risk
Democratic voters say that more than anything, they want to beat President Donald Trump in 2020. But some worry that means putting their hope of electing the first woman president on hold. … Although many of these voters said they recognize that the “electability” question is often unfairly aimed at […] Read more »