A new national Fox News poll finds former vice president Joe Biden leading the Democratic primary 35% to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ 17% and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s 9%. The poll is the latest to show Biden rising from the high 20s into the mid-to-upper 30s and Warren climbing from […] Read more »
Does Anyone Actually Want Joe Biden to Be President?
In a field crowded with nearly two dozen candidates, no answer to the electability question is offered more regularly and with more conviction than “Joe Biden.” … The case that people make for Mr. Biden’s electability is not that any one group of people is particularly excited by him, but […] Read more »
The math is against Bill de Blasio 2020
New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is running for Democratic nomination for president. You’re going to hear a lot of doubting takes from the press on de Blasio. And maybe, just maybe, de Blasio will prove all of us wrong. (He has before.) But unlike my skepticism of the […] Read more »
Trump’s biggest problems for 2020: Joe Biden and women
Considering the economy and voters’ positive perception of the economy, virtually any other incumbent president would be a lock for reelection. But President Trump still looks exceptionally vulnerable, particularly if former vice president Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee — and if women turn out in big numbers. Indeed, the […] Read more »
It Won’t Take Long for the Deep Dem Field to Start Thinning
… Whenever I use the NCAA basketball tournament’s bracket as an analogy for the Democratic presidential nomination, I can count on one friend who is extremely knowledgeable about Democratic politics to shake his head and rightly argue that voters cannot be conveniently sorted into tidy boxes—demographic, ideological, or cultural. … […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Age Divide Is Defining the 2020 Primary
When the progressive tag team of Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez skirmished with Joe Biden this week over climate policy, the altercation pointed toward the former vice president’s most glaring vulnerability in the 2020 Democratic presidential race—while simultaneously underscoring the imperative for him to defend his greatest asset. […] Read more »