Biden’s bounce stabilizes, leaving him in an enviable position

… On Tuesday, CNN and its polling partners at SSRS released a new poll of the 2020 Democratic primary field. Former vice president Joe Biden has the support of 32 percent of Democrats, trailed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) with 18 percent. No other candidate is in the double-digits. … […] Read more »

Not Impeaching Has Political Costs Too

Democrats have been arguing among themselves for a while now about whether to move ahead with impeachment against President Donald Trump. As the party mulls what decision to make, what it should understand is that either route will have important consequences for this presidency and for future ones: Just as […] Read more »

Rumblings from Trump’s base could shape Democrats’ choice for 2020

President Donald Trump’s political base may not be as impregnable as commonly assumed. And that could have big implications not only for the Democrats’ strategy against Trump in 2020 but also for their choice of a presidential nominee. Detailed new research by the Democratic voter-targeting firm Catalist found that the […] Read more »

How Candidates Are Handling The ‘Electability’ Question

More women are running in the Democratic presidential primary than ever before. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what we know about how voters respond to female candidates and how different women in the race are addressing questions about their identity. The team also weighs […] Read more »

Why Pelosi and Democratic presidential candidates don’t agree on impeachment

Democratic leaders are split on how to handle impeachment. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has called for Democrats to continue investigating President Donald Trump, but has not said an impeachment inquiry should begin. Many of the Democrats running for president are going in a different direction. Led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren […] Read more »