Texas politics are in the spotlight again this week. A number of House Republicans from the state have announced their retirements, and, after a mass shooting in El Paso this past weekend, Beto O’Rourke tussled with President Donald Trump over differing responses to the shootings. In the backdrop of these […] Read more »
What Iowa’s Best Pollster Thinks About 2020
Right now, many of the Democratic primary candidates are traveling through Iowa, shaking hands with voters as they make their way to the Iowa State Fair. In the coming days, just about every candidate running for president will stop by the Des Moines Register soapbox to give a stump speech. […] Read more »
Biden’s Biggest Weakness? Iowa. But Some Rivals Don’t Seem to Know It.
… The cause of Mr. Biden’s weakness in Iowa is fairly obvious: His national edge is mainly attributable to a wide advantage among black voters, and relatively speaking, there aren’t many black voters in Iowa. African-Americans represented a mere 4 percent of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 supporters in Iowa, according to […] Read more »
Polls Since The Second Debate Show Kamala Harris Slipping
Polls since last week’s Democratic debate haven’t shown the sort of dramatic swings that we saw after Round 1 — but they do show some shifts. In particular, they show further downward movement for Kamala Harris, who had already lost much of her bounce following the first debate. CONT. Nate […] Read more »
What 1860 and 1968 can teach America about the 2020 presidential election
People watch the second of two Democratic presidential primary debates at Shaw’s Tavern in Washington, D.C., July 31, 2019. AP/Andrew Harnik Austin Sarat, Amherst College Fresh evidence of the nastiness and divisiveness of the 2020 presidential election emerges every day. President Trump has let loose a storm of invective over […] Read more »
Biden Continues to Thread the Needle
Watching the pair of Democratic presidential debates in Detroit this week left me feeling that former Vice President Joe Biden was both past his prime and good enough to be considered the favorite to win the nomination and enter the general election with an advantage over President Trump. Biden appears […] Read more »