Earlier this week, President Trump announced proudly to the world (via Twitter, of course) that his approval rating had hit 53 percent. If that number surprises you, it should. It’s from a notoriously Trump-friendly pollster that only reflects people it determines are “likely voters” — and which currently shows only […] Read more »
An in-depth look at the just released NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll about the impeachment inquiry
In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the fallout. In the aftermath of the announcement by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that the House of Representatives would launch a formal impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump, the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll has brand new numbers out. Do Americans approve of the inquiry? […] Read more »
The Risks of Impeachment for House Democrats
There’s an awful lot we don’t know yet: how public opinion will respond to the declassified whistleblower report, how many months an impeachment inquiry could take, what other wrongdoing it could reveal, and whether Dems will ultimately have 218 votes to pass articles of impeachment (at 235 seats, they can […] Read more »
Impeachment Is Important — But Don’t Expect It to Matter Much in 2020
… Congressional elections expert Gary Jacobson of UC San Diego concluded at the time that “the results of the 1998 elections are in no way extraordinary. . . . [they] are about what we would expect if no one had ever heard of Monica Lewinsky.” If Clinton’s impeachment didn’t really […] Read more »
‘Everything You’re Seeing Is Deception’: How Right-Wing Media Talks About Impeachment
… With the president facing an impeachment inquiry, and a whistle-blower report made public Thursday that raised new questions about whether he tried to cover up his efforts to enlist Ukraine’s help in discrediting a political rival, allies of the White House in the pro-Trump media wasted no time constructing […] Read more »
Will Impeachment Reshape the 2020 Race?
… We are too early into the impeachment process to have any real idea of where it’s landing with voters. I wouldn’t put a lot of faith in any polling on impeachment that comes out this week. I understand the appetite to have data to prove/disprove one’s theory that this […] Read more »