I appreciate all the discussion and critique surrounding my New York Times article that came out earlier this week. It has made me think harder about the structure of my study design and implications of my findings, and I now realize where I could have been clearer in presentation of […] Read more »
Kamala Harris’s struggles nationally play out in her home state
Three years ago, Kamala Harris won a Senate seat from California in a 24-point rout. More than 7.5 million voters, most of them Democrats, backed her candidacy. But at the moment, not many of them are interested in supporting her for president. … After a spectacular start, a rally in […] Read more »
Nate Silver: Is impeachment energizing Trump’s base?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at what the polls say about the impact of the impeachment inquiry against Donald Trump. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden bests Trump by nine points in Wisconsin
Wisconsin voters are unhappy with how things are going in the country, oppose the border wall, think tariffs hurt the economy, and disapprove of the job President Trump is doing. That gives Democratic candidates the lead in each of the possible 2020 matchups tested in a Fox News Poll of […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden expands lead among South Carolina Democrats
Joe Biden increases his lead in the Palmetto State, as a growing number of South Carolina Democratic primary voters want a candidate who can defeat President Trump. The former vice president is ahead by 29 points, according to a Fox News Poll. That’s up from a 21-point lead in July. […] Read more »
‘Out on a limb’: Inside the Republican reckoning over Trump’s possible impeachment
A torrent of impeachment developments has triggered a reckoning in the Republican Party, paralyzing many of its officeholders as they weigh their political futures, legacies and, ultimately, their allegiance to a president who has held them captive. … A Republican strategist who is close with several senators and spoke on […] Read more »