Donald Trump: Two-term president? While that prospect may seem distant amid an endless series of terrible headlines — Syria! Ukraine! Impeachment! — for the President of late, a trio of new electoral models from Moody’s Analytics all predict a victory for the incumbent in 2020. “Results from each of the […] Read more »
Immigration and the Inevitability of Identity Politics in 2020
The 2016 campaign and the Trump presidency has focused on issues tied closely to Americans’ racial, ethnic, religious, and gender identities — and generated calls for both parties to reject “identity politics.” The challenge for both parties is that identity politics is increasingly baked into American politics. Even if Democratic […] Read more »
Why Impeachment Remains a Dangerous Road for Dems
… In a country that is already deeply divided, as we learned with the experiences of impeachment proceedings against Presidents Nixon and Clinton, the act of impeachment is the most serious and divisive action possible, to be used sparingly and when there is no alternative. Impeachment sucks all of the […] Read more »
Trump Is Winning the Online War
For all his negative poll numbers and impeachment-related liabilities, President Trump has a decisive advantage on one key election battleground: the digital campaign. Under the management of Brad Parscale, the Trump re-election machine has devoted millions more than any individual Democrat to increasingly sophisticated microtargeting techniques. … Trump’s operatives have […] Read more »
Elizabeth Warren Gets A Turn In The Hot Seat
All three of the top-polling candidates in the Democratic Primary faced key questions going into the fourth debate Tuesday night: How would Sen. Elizabeth Warren handle the pressure that comes along with being a newly minted front-runner? How would former Vice President Joe Biden respond to President Trump’s attacks on […] Read more »
October Democratic Debate Recap: What Purpose Do Debates Serve?
Tuesday night’s Democratic debate fell into a familiar pattern: a discussion of the relative merits of single-payer health care vs. a public option early in the evening, a few awkward exchanges thereafter but no single revealing moment, and a silly closing question that inadvertently revealed the extent to which television […] Read more »