… Buttigieg is clearly one of the — if not the only — frontrunners in the Iowa Democratic contest right now. Yet, some (like myself) have wondered aloud about whether Buttigieg will be able to translate his Iowa success into more diverse states like Nevada and South Carolina. That’s because […] Read more »
Democrats are vying to win over the youngest generation of their most important voting bloc
Former vice president Joe Biden is still ahead in polls of black voter support, but his competitors are trying their best to eat away at that lead by looking to a segment of the black community not quite sold on him: young black voters. … According to an October study […] Read more »
Trump’s GOP support hardens despite damning impeachment testimony
After two weeks of extraordinary open hearings that Democrats envisioned as their best opportunity to shape public opinion on impeachment, President Trump claims to be impervious to the cascade of damaging revelations because of hardening Republican opposition to his removal from office. So far, the historic proceedings have exacerbated the […] Read more »
A Split Decision From Congress Will Leave Voters With Final Say on Trump
… Everyone is playing their assigned role in a drama where the ending seems known in advance as the House of Representatives heads toward a likely party-line vote to impeach the president, followed by a Senate trial that will not convict him. But if the outcome of the showdown on […] Read more »
A snapshot from Wisconsin highlights Democrats’ challenges on impeachment
It is one poll in one state and therefore not a definitive reading of public opinion. But the latest survey from Marquette University’s law school of attitudes in Wisconsin highlights one of the challenges Democrats face as they move steadily toward impeaching President Trump. The survey was released as the […] Read more »
Four Problems With 2016 Trump Polling That Could Play Out Again in 2020
Meetings of the American Association of Public Opinion Research tend to be pretty staid affairs. But when members of the group gathered for a conference call at this time in 2016, the polling industry was experiencing a crisis of confidence. Donald J. Trump had swept most of the Midwest to […] Read more »