… Biden’s averaged 49% among all potential black Democratic primary voters in our last two CNN national polls. That’s good enough not only for a 35-point lead over his Democratic competitors, but good enough to beat all of them combined by about 10 points. But I think treating black voters […] Read more »
How a Divided Left Is Losing the Battle on Abortion
… The Democratic Party has rejected the message that drove its politics since President Bill Clinton’s administration — that abortion should be “safe, legal and rare” — and embraced abortion rights with few stipulations. Every leading Democratic presidential candidate has fallen in line. But unlike support for same-sex marriage, which […] Read more »
Impeachment: The View From Swing States
NPR’s Don Gonyea discusses attitudes towards impeachment in three swing states — Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan — with pollster Charles Franklin, and journalists Salena Zito and Rochelle Riley. Don Gonyea, All Things Considered, NPR Read more »
2020 Democratic Candidates Wage Escalating Fight (on the Merits of Fighting)
… At a basic level, this is a debate over word choice. Candidates have been selling themselves as “fighters” for centuries, ostensibly on behalf of the proverbial “you.” It goes back at least to 1828, when Andrew Jackson bludgeoned John Quincy Adams, his erudite opponent, with the slogan “Adams can […] Read more »
Why Progressive Candidates Should Invoke Conservative Values
To beat President Trump in the 2020 election, what sort of policies should a Democratic nominee promote? … An influential analysis of national polling data by Professors Ellis and Stimson suggests that the most effective candidate in a national election would combine the most popular feature of the Democratic Party, […] Read more »
The Democratic presidential campaign has produced confusion rather than clarity
The Democratic presidential candidates have been on the campaign trail for nearly a year. Confusion rather than clarity continues to be the story of their contest for the 2020 nomination. … What continues to define the Democratic race is the absence of a candidate who has truly captured the imaginations […] Read more »