With less than 60 days before the first votes are counted in Iowa, four candidates are in the mix or leading in at least one of the four early-voting states. Combined with the lack of a dominant frontunner nationally, Democrats can start asking a question that’s maybe not so far-fetched: […] Read more »
Trump’s campaigning on the roaring economy. Here’s how Democrats plan to stop him.
Impeached or not, President Donald Trump has a strong tailwind heading into his re-election year: the economy. Presidential contests tend to turn on “it’s the economy, stupid,” as Democratic strategist James Carville summed up underdog Bill Clinton’s win in 1992. And things look good for Trump at this time: Unemployment […] Read more »
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Biden has edge in Super Tuesday states, Bloomberg in 5th
The Super Tuesday primaries on March 3, 2020, have a diverse electorate and the largest single-day delegate prize on the Democratic calendar next year. They have attracted added attention lately, since former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has staked his newly launched presidential bid on these contests, instead of […] Read more »
Why White Iowans Want a Nominee Who Can Appeal to Nonwhite Voters
They share awkward glances at events where nearly everyone looks like them. They take comfort in reminding one another that they propelled Barack Obama to the White House. They swear that their values and priorities are representative of more than a Corn Belt farm state. With less than two months […] Read more »
Nate Silver: ‘Do I buy that Bernie has a shot at the nomination? Definitely.’
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks into Bernie Sanders’ chances of winning the Democratic nomination. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Trump has weathered impeachment better than Clinton
… During the course of the Democrats’ impeachment inquiry into Trump, analysts such as myself have been making the few historical comparisons we can to judge the current situation. In these, Trump usually comes out looking poorly compared to Bill Clinton, the last president to be impeached. Clinton’s job approval […] Read more »