Over the last ten months, the race for the Democratic nomination has been volatile. And, remarkably stable. We’ve seen candidates like Sen. Kamala Harris and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke boom — and bust. Warren’s summer surge has turned into a late fall slump. As we get ready to ring in […] Read more »
Trump’s Reelection Is Sitting on a Knife’s Edge
The bitter battle that culminated in last night’s House vote to impeach President Donald Trump foreshadows an even more dramatic struggle to come over his reelection. It’s a contest that will likely feature a historic mobilization of each party’s coalition, and will test widening satisfaction about the economy against widespread […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Joe Biden holds lead heading into December debate
Joe Biden continues to hold a lead in the race for the Democratic nomination for president and remains the candidate potential Democratic voters think has the best shot to defeat Donald Trump, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Biden has the backing of about a quarter (26%) […] Read more »
Why Impeachment Proceedings Against Trump Might Not Change The Electoral Landscape
NPR’s Ari Shapiro speaks with Nathan Gonzales from Inside Elections about why the impeachment hearings and vote are not a game changer for the electoral landscape. All Things Considered, NPR Read more »
2019: The Year of Stability
The House of Representatives made history Wednesday, impeaching a president for just the third time. It made for an occasion that was both momentous and monotonous. Momentous in that Donald J. Trump appears likely to be the first impeached president who will nonetheless appear on general election ballots after that […] Read more »
Wisconsin: 2020’s Ground Zero
As 2019 closes out, it may be worth looking to one of the states that is expected to play an outsized role in next year’s presidential election: Wisconsin. The Badger State was truly decisive in 2016: While it’s easy to lump it in with Michigan and Pennsylvania as the three […] Read more »