In this special holiday installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew spends a whole episode answering listener questions. The topics range from the best way to winnow a primary debate stage, to who would win if the podcast team went toe-to-toe in a battle royale. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
2020 Senate and House outlook looks a lot like it did at the start of 2019
More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans. Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not […] Read more »
Joe Biden is winning the electability primary
In their search for a presidential nominee, Democrats have argued about all manner of things. They’ve debated “Medicare for all” and a “Green New Deal.” They’ve weighed a wealth tax and free college tuition. They’ve clashed over campaign donations from millionaires. But their most important dispute isn’t about ideology or […] Read more »
Trump is gaining ground heading into 2020
… Public opinion on Trump has been remarkably stable throughout his presidency. His approval rating has mostly been stuck in the high 30s to low 40s, and he’s consistently trailed his most likely Democratic opponent (Biden) in the polls by high single to low double digits. But as we close […] Read more »
‘I don’t buy that you can win a presidential nomination’ on ads alone
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at whether expensive ad campaigns will be enough for candidates like Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg to win in 2020. This Week, ABC News Read more »
‘Squishy Republicans:’ New NBC News/WSJ poll identifies potential 2020 swing voters
A look at potential 2020 swing voters and what they mean for both Republicans and Democrats. MTP Daily, MSNBC Read more »