Our National Dissonance: Surging optimism is the flip side of paranoia and distrust of the system

… Vaccine proximity. Per the CDC, we are at 53% of Americans with at least one dose. Our Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index tracker, which went to field about a week ago, comes to a similar conclusion – finding that more than half know someone else who has gotten the shot. … […] Read more »

Faith in numbers: Trump held steady among believers at the ballot – it was the nonreligious vote he lost in 2020

White evangelicals continued to back Trump in 2020 in significant numbers. Gina Ferazzi/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images Ryan Burge, Eastern Illinois University For all the predictions and talk of a slump in support among evangelicals, it appears Donald Trump’s election loss was not at the hands of religious voters. […] Read more »

Did Scandal Cost North Carolina Democrats a Senate Seat?

Key Points• In North Carolina’s hotly contested Senate race last year, Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) narrowly won reelection against a scandal-plagued opponent, former state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D-NC).• Had Cunningham’s candidacy not been weighed down by a personal affair, he may have still lost. Indeed, a Tillis win was consistent […] Read more »

2020 Was as Geographically Polarized as 2016, But Biden Did Just a Little Better in the Right Places

… Biden was supposed to be uniquely appealing to the type of white, older, modestly-educated, socially traditionalist voter who had wandered away from the Democratic Party sometime between Barack Obama’s first victory and Hillary Clinton’s last defeat. A candidate who won back a significant share of this electoral bloc while […] Read more »

Half of Republicans believe false accounts of deadly U.S. Capitol riot

Since the deadly Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, former President Donald Trump and his Republican allies have pushed false and misleading accounts to downplay the event that left five dead and scores of others wounded. His supporters appear to have listened. Three months after a mob of Trump […] Read more »

Why Republicans can claim to be the party of the White working class

Iowa Democrat Rita Hart decided this week to withdraw her challenge to her defeat in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District last year. Her six-vote loss to Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks capped off a successful year for Iowa Republicans who won the presidential race, Senate race and three of four House races […] Read more »