At this point in the Democratic primary, none of the moderate alternatives to Sen. Bernie Sanders has risen above the rest. Sanders has emerged from the first three voting contests as the race’s progressive front-runner, and voters who think Sanders is too liberal are still left with several choices. It […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders looks electable in surveys — but it could be a mirage
… Why does Sanders look similarly electable to leading moderates in polls against Trump? We fielded a 40,000-person survey in early 2020 that helps us look into this question with more precision. … Our data (laid out in an academic working paper here) also found what polls show: that Bernie […] Read more »
Can Bernie Sanders really beat Trump? His pollster makes the case.
Now that Sen. Bernie Sanders has become the clear favorite for the Democratic nomination, the Vermont independent’s rivals — and many in the Democratic Party — are sounding loud, clanging alarms about his viability against President Trump. Those alarms, of course, are in some cases self-interested, but a thorough airing-out […] Read more »
Why Swing-District Democrats Don’t Want Bernie Sanders as the Nominee
Swing-district House Democrats don’t agree on which candidate they want to lead them on the ticket this year, but they do seem to agree on which candidate they don’t: Bernie Sanders. Of the 46 Democratic representatives who hold districts classified by Sabato’s Crystal Ball House ratings as at least marginally […] Read more »
What Sanders’s Big Nevada Win Means For The Rest Of The Race
Sen. Bernie Sanders won a decisive victory in the Nevada caucuses over the weekend. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Jon Ralston, editor of The Nevada Independent, joins Nate Silver and Galen Druke to break down the voting patterns that helped Sanders win and what they mean going […] Read more »
Sanders Says He’ll Attract a Wave of New Voters. It Hasn’t Happened.
It is the most politically provocative part of Senator Bernie Sanders’s campaign pitch: that his progressive movement will bring millions of nonvoters into the November election, driving record turnout especially among disaffected working-class Americans and young people. And yet despite a virtual tie in Iowa, a narrow victory in New […] Read more »