Trump’s approval is up, but his deficit vs. Biden remains mostly the same. Why? Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
Wisconsin shows how the Covid-19 pandemic has made holding elections much more difficult
If this were a normal primary season, I would be poring over the delegate numbers already decided and the polls for those yet to come, and analyzing Wisconsin’s role in the primaries and importance in the general election. If this were a normal primary season, because Wisconsin’s primary was scheduled […] Read more »
What Should Biden Do?
We are living through an extraordinary and unprecedented time. It has required us to readjust our lives, our expectations and our plans. The business of politics is no exception. There’s been a lot written over these last few days that this upending of normalcy is taking a toll on former […] Read more »
Rating Changes: Democrats edge slightly ahead, but presidential race still a toss-up
Key Points • We are not dramatically revising our outlook for the presidential election, at least not yet. • That said, several rating changes in the Electoral College and Senate generally benefit Democrats. • Many governors are getting high marks for their responses to the crisis; even for those elected […] Read more »
Getting Cartered
Key Points • President Trump’s approval numbers have remained steady or have even improved in the midst of the coronavirus crisis. • That said, the potential threat that the combined health and economic crisis poses to his reelection odds is obvious. • Trump may find himself in the position of […] Read more »
Covid-19 Is Twisting 2020 Beyond All Recognition
… When the best-case scenario predicts 100,000 to 240,000 deaths, the pandemic reminds us just how important it is who holds the reins of power. This is especially the case when one crucial question will be whether widespread suffering, panic and economic collapse will destabilize the American political system and […] Read more »