A fundamental rule of politics is the party that’s divided is the one that’s losing. A cardinal rule of pandemic politics is that it’s better to err on the side of caution instead of taking risks that would invite a political backlash. There are no libertarians in a crisis, but […] Read more »
What Is Motivating The COVID-19 Protests?
Over the past week, protests against COVID-19 mitigation measures have popped up in state capitals around the country. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what’s motivating the protests, as well as President Trump’s support for them. The team also weighs the electoral pros and cons […] Read more »
Can Joe Biden balance young and old?
Joe Biden is confronting a generational tightrope. As the former vice president shifts his focus toward the general election, one of the most important questions facing his campaign is whether he can fortify his tentative standing among younger voters without weakening his sturdy position among the old. … The sweet […] Read more »
Trump Exceptionalism
A few weeks ago, as the president received some of the highest marks of his presidency, we wrote about a “Trump bump.” Over the past few weeks, that bump has turned into a fairly distinct slump, as President Trump’s approval ratings returned to where they were before the pandemic began. […] Read more »
The fight for the Senate: A pinkie on the scale for Democrats?
Last September, I wrote in this space that small developments had given Democrats “some reason for optimism about next year’s fight for the Senate.” But I also noted the party would “need an upset or two to win control of the chamber next November.” More than seven months later, circumstances […] Read more »
I Ran Stacey Abrams’s Campaign. Black Voters Powered Us to Near Victory.
… Something nearly unthinkable happened in Georgia in 2018. More black voters, more Asian-American/Pacific Island voters and more Latino voters turned out than in the 2016 presidential election. Sure, turnout was up everywhere and at presidential levels in many states. But Georgia was the only state where midterm turnout was […] Read more »