… Eight months after he lost convincingly to President Biden, Trump and his followers are studiously maintaining an alternative reality — and having remarkable success keeping the fiction alive. … There’s no mystery why Trump wants to keep his baseless narrative alive. The fiction transforms him from a loser to, […] Read more »
Latino Voters Are Leaving The Democratic Party
New information about the 2020 election reveals a growing shift among Latino voters away from the Democratic party. Lulu Garcia-Navarro talks with OpenLabs R&D researcher David Shor about it. NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up […] Read more »
Independents, suburban voters among the keys to Biden’s victory over Trump
The 2020 election produced a record number of people voting and the highest percentage turnout in more than a century. It was an election that cost Donald Trump a second term in the White House and handed the Oval Office to Joe Biden. What changed from 2016 to 2020? The […] Read more »
New 2020 voter data: How Biden won, how Trump kept the race close, and what it tells us about the future
As we saw in 2016 and again in 2020, traditional survey research is finding it harder than it once was to assess presidential elections accurately. Pre-election polls systemically misjudge who is likely to vote, and exit polls conducted as voters leave the voting booths get it wrong as well. Now, […] Read more »
The Most Complete Picture Yet of America’s Changing Electorate
… Yesterday, the Pew Research Center released its eagerly awaited Validated Voters survey. Pew builds its findings by surveying adults it can identify as definitely having voted in November based on voting records, a methodology many analysts favor. … The principal data sources about 2020 have converged to a striking […] Read more »
How NYC Board of Elections’ mistake fuels Trump’s false election fraud claims
The New York City Democratic mayoral primary is a total mess. The city’s Board of Elections, known for previous errors, managed to make its biggest one to date when it accidentally included about 135,000 test ballots in its initial calculation of the primary results under the city’s new ranked-choice voting […] Read more »