• Coronavirus Pandemic Pushes Cuomo to Record High Ratings; Voters Trust Cuomo over Trump on NY Reopening 78-16%• Half of NYers Know Someone Who’s Tested Positive; One-Third Know Someone Who’s Died from Coronavirus; Both Numbers Higher Downstate than Upstate• Near Universal Support for Gov’s Orders to Extend NY ‘On Pause’ […] Read more »
Tweets of Note
While 2020 may very well defy historical patterns, in elections over the past five decades an incumbent president's approval rating at ~200 days out has been a remarkably strong predictor of his ultimate vote share. Trump's current rating puts him in Carter & GHW Bush territory. pic.twitter.com/pyvZA1q6St — Patrick Egan […] Read more »
Ohioans trust governor over White House, are cautious about lifting COVID-19 restrictions
As Ohio waits to hear Governor Mike DeWine’s detailed plans to begin lifting stay-at-home restrictions, a new statewide poll shows that 70% of Ohioans prioritize public health over the economy. The Baldwin Wallace University Ohio Poll also shows that 85% of voters in the Buckeye State approve of DeWine’s handling […] Read more »
Why Americans Don’t Vote Their Class Anymore
For decades now, major left-wing parties throughout the West have been bleeding support from the working-class voters whose interests they claim to represent. In the mid-20th century, a voter’s socioeconomic position strongly predicted his or her partisan allegiance: In Britain, France, and the United States, voters with low incomes and […] Read more »
Democrats see Senate suddenly within reach, boosted by Biden’s ascent
Joe Biden’s unexpectedly rapid consolidation of the Democratic presidential nomination has upended calculations in both parties about the U.S. Senate landscape, with Democrats hopeful that Biden can actively help with close races and Republicans increasingly nervous about losing their 53-47 majority. … The former vice president’s emergence is part of […] Read more »
Biden’s invisible campaign is winning
… A lot of Democrats have been hankering for Biden to try and get out to be more part of the daily media conversation. The latest numbers suggest that these voices are likely wrong. Biden’s proving that the less media he receives, the better it is for his electoral prospects. […] Read more »