For years, high-ranking Republicans believed that Democrats had them backed into a demographic corner: The Latino electorate would continue to grow, providing Democrats with more votes and permanently squeezing Republicans out of power. Donald Trump has, for the moment, proved that theory wrong. Overall, Trump won 38 percent of the […] Read more »
Chuck ToddCast: What the NBC/WSJ poll got wrong in 2020 and what we’re doing to fix it
After the election, the bipartisan team of pollsters who conduct the national NBC News poll evaluated the poll and its 10,000 interviews and compared the results with actual voters from states’ voter files. Pollsters Bill McInturff, co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies and Jeff Horwitt, Senior Vice President at Hart Research […] Read more »
What the NBC/WSJ poll got wrong in 2020 — and what we are doing to fix it
Political polls of all stripes swung and missed in the 2020 presidential election. In fact, according to a recent American Association for Public Opinion Research report, the cumulative error was the largest in 40 years. That includes the performance of our national NBC News/Wall Street Journal, which showed Joe Biden […] Read more »
Views on the Republican Party’s Priorities, Leadership, and Future
Most Republicans want former President Donald Trump to have at least some influence on the direction of the Republican Party, though fewer than half are optimistic about the party’s future. Republicans are also sour on the direction of the country, the state of politics, and the state of democracy. Overall, […] Read more »
What drives Republican and Trump voters’ belief in widespread voter fraud?
Most Americans don’t think there was widespread fraud in 2020, but ever since Joe Biden won, most Republicans say there was. This is connected to the push for further voting restrictions in some states, where making voting easier is seen as giving Democrats an advantage. A closer look at why […] Read more »
Still more to learn about January 6, most Americans say
With Congress’ January 6 Select Committee slated to start work soon, Americans still overwhelmingly disapprove of the events they witnessed that day, a sentiment that includes big majorities of both Republicans and of former President Trump’s voters, too — and most do think there’s more to learn about it. But […] Read more »