President Donald Trump’s ace in the hole has been the economy. Even though a majority of voters have disapproved of his job performance overall during most of his presidency, more voters than not have given him a thumbs-up on the economy. But Trump now may be seeing this advantage dissipate. […] Read more »
Is it Trump or the virus?
While only a fool would take November for granted, in recent days, the commentariat’s consensus has moved in the direction I’ve been arguing for months — concluding former Vice President Joe Biden occupies a very strong position. Which raises an important question: is it the virus or is it President […] Read more »
Are the Polls Missing Republican Voters?
With polls showing Joe Biden holding a commanding lead, one question keeps popping up: Are these polls missing Trump voters? Self-identified Democrats outnumber Republicans in most surveys, sometimes by a wide margin. This might simply mean there are more Democrats than Republicans. But to critics, the partisan makeup of most […] Read more »
Even if Schools Re-Open, Many Parents Would Keep Their Children Home
… Republicans are far more likely than Democrats or independents to both want schools to reopen and to send their school-aged children if schools did reopen in their local areas. Nevertheless, skepticism remains even among Republicans. While most Republicans want some form of reopening, most do not want schools to […] Read more »
Sorry, Republicans. The polls really are that bad.
Many Republicans are responding with disbelief to polls showing President Trump well behind former vice president Joe Biden nationally and in all the swing states. Some say the polls are undercounting Republicans, while others cite 2016 as evidence that the polls are just wrong. Sadly, neither explanation holds water. … […] Read more »
Trump is creating an untraditional partisan divide on vote by mail
The popularity of voting by mail has exploded during the coronavirus pandemic. … Yet over the past few months, President Donald Trump has crusaded to cast doubt on voting by mail. Many of those are false charges, including the idea that there is massive fraud, that have been debunked. Still, […] Read more »