It’s often been said that President Donald Trump is “underperforming the fundamentals”. Some believe Trump’s doing worse than the average Republican president would be doing in the polls under similar circumstances. It’s difficult to prove that, however. But at least one key indicator suggests Trump is, indeed, doing worse than […] Read more »
Processing a New Kind of Election Night
The surge in absentee ballots because of the coronavirus could mean the outcome of the presidential race remains undetermined for weeks after the first Tuesday in November. … Caitlin Conant, Political Director of CBS News and Rick Klein, the Political Director of ABC News describe how they’re preparing both their […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Let the Games Begin!
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 11 points nationally among registered voters. What does Trump need to do to close the gap? Is his base of support still strong? And, how do the candidates fare on the issues driving the contest? CONT. Marist […] Read more »
Religious Identity and the 2020 Presidential Election
The process of analyzing and understanding presidential election dynamics often leads us to look at the American electorate not as a whole, but by segments. Party identification is the most frequently used way to sort voters, but other variables are also meaningfully related to political behavior and help explain how […] Read more »
Southern Democrats look to Harris for spark in Senate races
Joe Biden’s selection of Kamala Harris as his running mate has won widespread praise from rank-and-file Democrats who have hailed her as a historic, trail-blazing choice. But Democratic candidates running in some crucial races see Biden’s choice of a Black and Indian woman as something more important: a new motivating […] Read more »
25% Say Neither Candidate Would Be a Good President
As both political parties prepare for their conventions, one in four Americans do not think either of the major-party presidential candidates would be a good president. At the same time, roughly equal percentages say only Joe Biden (36%) or only Donald Trump (33%) would make a good president, while 5% […] Read more »