By now, most journalists, handicappers, and party operatives are trained to restrain themselves when applying special election results to future general election forecasts. But the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District provides a unique opportunity to learn about the present political environment and how it’s changed since November. Instead […] Read more »
Battleground States Then (2012/2016) vs. Now (2018/2019)
Was the 2016 election a one-off — a once-in-a-lifetime contest between two fundamentally flawed contestants? Or, was it a realignment election; the end of Democratic dominance in the industrial Midwest as well as the loosening of the Republican grip on southwestern states like Arizona and Texas? Was Clinton the outlier […] Read more »
Telemundo Chicago/NBC 5 Exclusive Poll Shows 5-Person Dash to Finish of Chicago Mayoral Race
The race for mayor of Chicago has turned into a five-person dash to the finish, according to results of an exclusive Telemundo Chicago/NBC 5 poll. With 12 days and counting until the election, nearly one in five voters still hasn’t made up his or her mind, according to the exclusive […] Read more »
Yes, Virginia, This is Chaos
Saying that anything in the annals of American political history is “unique” or “unprecedented” is dangerous, for the simple fact that the past is filled with so many oddities from which we can draw parallels. That said, we’re struggling to come up with something equivalent to what we’ve seen in […] Read more »