Dozens of House races remain extremely close in the closing days of the midterms, according to New York Times Upshot/Siena College polls, making it easy to envision a Democratic blowout or a district-by-district battle for control that lasts for weeks. The difference between the two outcomes will depend on whether […] Read more »
A conversation with pollster Ann Selzer
On this edition of Iowa Press, noted public opinion pollster and analyst Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Company, joins reporters to talk about the upcoming midterm elections. Iowa Public Television Read more »
Uncertainty Remains High Even as Election Day Awaits
Close observers of American politics seem to live in a world of constant suspense and frequent unforeseen plot twists, but the state of public opinion out in the country at large is in fact remarkably stable these days. … Stability isn’t the same thing as certainty, however, and the lack […] Read more »
What If Only Men Voted? Only Women? Only Nonwhite Voters?
Imagine if only one group of Americans cast their ballots this November. What would happen to the electoral map? We’ve conducted this kind of thought experiment before; it can help shed light on why the parties are hoping that certain groups — such as suburban women for Democrats, white working […] Read more »
Senate: 11 Days Out; NJ Moves to Toss Up
With November 6 just 11 days away, it seems that the overall Senate playing field won’t change much, although it appears that some of the races in Toss Up are getting even tighter, if that’s possible. CONT. Jennifer E. Duffy, Cook Political Report Read more »
Trump’s Numbers Improve, But GOP Problems Remain
Knowing that midterm elections are referenda on the incumbent president, Republicans have prayed since the early stages of this election cycle that President Trump’s job-approval ratings would rise. GOP officials and strategists knew that in many (but not all) places and voter groups, Trump was a millstone around the necks […] Read more »