President Donald Trump closed this campaign by warning of the grave danger people faced from criminal and violent immigrants and from the Democratic leaders who supported open borders and sanctuary cities. We think you will find that when the votes are all counted, Donald Trump and the GOP will have […] Read more »
A new poll shows the secret truth of 2018: Not much has changed in months
Here’s a remarkable thing about the 2018 election campaign: how little has changed. That is the lesson from the third George Washington University Politics Poll, which was just released today. I think most people know that we live in a world of strong partisanship, which is increasingly evident in congressional […] Read more »
Final picks for 2018: Democrats in House; Republicans in Senate; Democrats big in gubernatorial races; be on guard for upsets
… Our expectations for this election have been consistent for the past several months. We favor the Democrats in the House and Republicans in the Senate, and we expect the Democrats to pick up a significant share of governorships. Our picks follow. We’ve also included an “upset watch” listing in […] Read more »
Major Polling Stories of the 2018 Cycle
1) It is indeed all about President Trump. Almost seven out of ten (69%) registered voters are either voting to send a signal of support (31%) or opposition (38%) to the president. This ties Obama (69%) as a high water mark since this question was first asked in 1998. CONT. […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Democrats maintain advantage
On the eve of the midterm elections, Democrats continue to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot among likely voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The party’s 55% to 42% advantage in the new poll mirrors their lead in early October and […] Read more »
Two Vastly Different Election Outcomes That Hinge on a Few Dozen Close Contests
Democrats appear poised to win the House popular vote on Tuesday by a wide margin, with national polls showing sustained disapproval of President Trump — and yet the fate of the chamber is not a foregone conclusion. On the day before the midterm elections, two vastly different outcomes remain easy […] Read more »