Virginia’s 10th Congressional District is among dozens of battlegrounds controlled by Republicans that will determine who controls the House. Rep. Barbara Comstock, a two-term Republican who represents the district’s constituents in suburban Northern Virginia, faces off against her Democrat rival, state Sen. Jennifer T. Wexton (Loudon). CONT. Chris Alcantara, Scott Clement […] Read more »
The (Final) Forecast: A Democratic House and a Republican Senate, but still some uncertainty
The 2018 campaign (mostly) comes to an end today. If the polls and our forecasts are right, the Democrats and Republicans will each have something to be happy about. Democrats are favored to take back the House, while Republicans are favored to maintain control of the Senate. Our final House […] Read more »
Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races
Happy Election Day! The last of the polls are in, and it’s finally pencils down for FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 midterm forecast. Here are our final forecasts: CONT. Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Why Trump’s unpopularity may not be the handicap you’d expect
The Republican Party comes into Election Day with a significant handicap. The party’s leader, the man in the White House, is less popular nationally coming into a midterm election than any president since 1974, save one: George W. Bush in 2006, whose popularity in 2002 had vanished four years later […] Read more »
Surprising Support for the Term ‘Feminist’ on the Campaign Trail
Asked whether she was a feminist, Amy McGrath, the former Marine fighter pilot running for Congress in Kentucky, was emphatic: “Hell yeah, I’m a feminist.” Her opponent, Representative Andy Barr, turned her words into an attack ad. Many politicians have considered the word “feminist” toxic. But that might be changing. […] Read more »
Why on-the-fence voters say they are supporting Democrats or Republicans for Congress
Americans faced an onslaught of polling numbers this fall — which we warned you about — but with Election Day upon us, let’s take one final look at voters’ explanations for their congressional vote choices in their own words, particularly those who were on the fence in the final week […] Read more »