It is a rare cycle in which both parties step back the morning after the election, survey the landscape of the same set of races, and walk away happy with the results. When it comes to Governors races, Democrats are happy to add to their numbers. They started the cycle […] Read more »
The Suburbs — All Kinds Of Suburbs — Delivered The House To Democrats
Throughout this election cycle, FiveThirtyEight and others wondered where Democrats could pick up House seats: Would it be in the 13 districts that Mitt Romney carried in 2012 but Hillary Clinton won in 2016? Or would it be in the 21 districts that Barack Obama carried in 2012 but Donald […] Read more »
Record LGBT support for Democrats in midterms, NBC News Exit Poll shows
Democratic candidates enjoyed strong support from lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender voters nationwide on Tuesday, according to the NBC News Exit Poll. LGBT people made up 6 percent of the electorate in the midterms, and 82 percent of them cast their ballot for their district’s Democratic candidate for the House […] Read more »
Don’t Blame the Polls
Say it with me, everyone: Polls are not predictions. Polls are not predictions. POLLS ARE NOT PREDICTIONS! I’m reminding you all of this mantra because one thing that always happens in the days after an election is the blame game. … Actually, it was a pretty good election night for […] Read more »
Suburban Voters Gave Democrats Their House Majority
Democrats retook the House of Representatives on the back of a suburban surge Tuesday, remaking a once rock-ribbed Republican bastion into a Democratic stronghold. … The suburbs aren’t monolithically blue in the same way America’s urban congressional districts are. … And the suburbs aren’t quite as red as rural America, […] Read more »
The 2018 midterm vote: Divisions by race, gender, education
The stark demographic and educational divisions that have come to define American politics were clearly evident in voting preferences in the 2018 congressional elections. There were wide differences in voting preferences between men and women, whites and nonwhites, as well as people with more and less educational attainment. CONT. Alec […] Read more »