… One of the premises we have talked about all cycle is that if Republicans won a majority of the seats in the Toss Up column, then geography would be political destiny because it meant that Democrats lost the seats they were defending in red states. If, on the other […] Read more »
GOP Didn’t Have a Turnout Problem, It Had a Focus Problem
Did the 2018 midterm electorate break new political ground as the media had predicted for months or was it déjà vu all over again? The answer is both. In my last column before the election, I suggested that four key measurements would tell the story of this year’s midterms: party […] Read more »
Why Aren’t Democrats More Excited About the 2018 Results?
… Democrats wanted this election to be about more than just winning the House or the Senate. They wanted 2018 to be a total rebuke of Trump. A wipe out of epic proportions all across the country. That didn’t happen. What we saw instead was more of a retrenchment. Red […] Read more »
What 2018 Elections Could Tell Us About The 2020 Presidential Map
President Trump claimed some personal victories in the 2018 midterm results, and as he ticked them off at a press conference on Wednesday he might as well have been walking through the Electoral College map for 2020. … As the president and his political advisers map out a strategy to […] Read more »
2018 Election Recap: It Ain’t Over Yet!
… Whether they land on the pro or con side, Americans are thinking, talking, and doing politics much more since Donald Trump was elected president of the United States. Trump’s ubiquity is, in general, a massive liability for his party—given the state of the economy, the Republican House majority would […] Read more »
How Did Latinxs Vote in the Mid-Terms?
In the weeks leading up to the 2018 election, President Donald Trump ignored the pleas of his advisers to focus on the economy and instead chose to center immigration in his campaign messaging. … With many calling Trump’s messaging overtly anti-Latinx, all eyes were on Latinx voters as Americans cast […] Read more »