It was a good year for polls. This time, they got the basic story of the election right: a Democratic House and a Republican Senate. And on average, the final polls were closer to the results than any election in a decade. Best of all, the polls were relatively unbiased, […] Read more »
Ten Years Later, the Democrats Are Still the Party of Obama
In the wake of a “wave” election, it’s always more fashionable to emphasize change over continuity. Despite plenty of talk these days about electoral realignments, resurgent socialism, and the political coming-of-age of a potentially transformational millennial generation, however, neither of the two parties looks all that much different now than […] Read more »
Republicans Must Do Some Soul-Searching
Over the next few months, as election results are finalized, exit polling massaged, and post-election polling conducted and examined, we will be spending a lot of time slicing and dicing the data. But in the meantime, Republicans need to be doing some soul-searching about their party and its future. Of […] Read more »
Mississippi Senate Special: It’s All About Turnout
Lost amid recounts in Florida, uncertainty in Georgia and a handful of uncalled House races is the special election run-off in Mississippi to fill the remainder of former Republican U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran’s term. Playing in the background, though, is a multi-million-dollar battle for the last Senate seat on the […] Read more »
Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough
There shouldn’t be much question about whether 2018 was a wave election. Of course it was a wave. You could endlessly debate the wave’s magnitude, depending on how much you focus on the number of votes versus the number of seats, the House versus the Senate versus governorships, and so […] Read more »
Key Factors That Shaped 2018… And A Brief Look Ahead
We have just witnessed a historic and consequential midterm election. Somewhere between 20 to 25 million more people will have voted than in any midterm in our country’s history, the highest percentage of eligible voters participating in over a century. A new high said their vote was to either support […] Read more »