For a host of reasons, this was a Year of the Woman in American life. There was an all-time record 234 women running for Congress, 182 Democratic women and 52 Republican women. There will be 88 new Members in the House of Representatives, 35 of them are women. More women […] Read more »
Democrats won big running against Trump tax cut and economy
Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to keep them in office. Instead, Democrats won with a strong message that the Trump economy is failing to raise wages and that the Republican tax law gives huge […] Read more »
Across South, Democrats Risk Speaking Boldly and Alienating Rural White Voters
When Mike Espy, the Democrat challenging Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi, faced his opponent at a debate ahead of this Tuesday’s runoff election, he had to make a choice: confront Ms. Hyde-Smith over her comments about attending “a public hanging,” which evoked the state’s racist history, or take a milder […] Read more »
House results underscore that what’s good for Trump isn’t so good for the GOP
When President Trump won the White House in 2016, he did it by hijacking the Republican Party. Now, after what happened in the midterm elections, it’s clearer than ever that the president’s fortunes and his party’s future are at odds. During the final weeks of the fall campaign, Trump put […] Read more »
California Has Become a Crisis for the Republicans
For all the focus since Election Day on the Republican Party’s precipitous decline in California, the true depth of the collapse is still only coming into focus. And so are the implications of that fall for the GOP’s prospects in other western states following the same trajectory of geographic and […] Read more »
Polling Error in the 2018 Midterm Election
Here are some graphs summarizing analysis I’ve been doing on polling error in the 2018 midterm elections. CONT. Alexander Agadjanian Read more »