There seems little point in spending a lot of time trying to assess the political implications of what turned out to be a relatively brief government shutdown. The initial reading of the deal is that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell got the better of Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, but it […] Read more »
Health Care Ranks Among Voters’ Top Issues for the 2018 Midterm Elections, But It’s a Lower Priority Among Voters in Battleground States and Districts
Health care and the economy and jobs top voters’ list as “the most important issue” for Congressional candidates to talk about ahead of November’s midterm elections, but the lineup shifts among voters in states and districts with competitive elections, the January Kaiser Health Tracking Poll finds. When asked how important […] Read more »
2018 Election: Where We Are Now
In the last six weeks, the Congressional Leadership Fund has commissioned surveys in 69 congressional districts. While the survey results do show a challenging environment for Republicans, there is a path forward for Republicans to be successful. CONT. Corry Bliss, Congressional Leadership Fund Read more »
What to Make of All These New and Often Conflicting Generic Ballot Polls?
If you are confused about what to make of the latest slew of polling data about control of Congress in 2018, you are not alone. On the so-called generic ballot question which asks voters if they’d support a Democrat or Republican for Congress in 2018, Democrats have either lost ground […] Read more »
Mixed Signals: Analyzing Elections Since Trump Won the Presidency
This past Tuesday marked the 75th time a Democrat and a Republican faced off in a special election for a state or federal office since President Donald Trump won the 2016 election. The result in District 35 of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives, a solidly Democratic seat in the Pittsburgh […] Read more »
2018 at a breaking point? Not yet.
Over the last three months, Democrats have doubled their margin in the generic congressional ballot to an 11-point advantage among registered voters and an 8-point lead among likely voters nationally. That is near the 9-point margin Democrats won in 2006 when they flipped 30 congressional seats and retook the majority, […] Read more »