Two of the main casualties for pollsters in most elections are often their reputation and their credibility. In the US, their perceived failure to predict the election victory of Donald Trump left many to question if they could ever be trusted again. Going into the midterms, the leading pollsters had […] Read more »
This District Was Solid Red. Why Did It Flip?
Oklahoma City’s population is becoming younger and more diverse, a fact that helped propel a Democrat, Kendra Horn, to victory in a traditionally Republican House district. But the city’s changing demographics are only one part of the story. Emma Cott, New York Times Read more »
Can our country’s anti-Trump blocs work together to defeat him?
Politically, our country is divided into four camps, not two. Only one of these, largely rooted in rural America and bolstered by ideological conservatives, supports President Trump. Two of them, urban progressives and suburban moderates, strongly oppose him. The last consists of white, blue-collar voters in the industrial states who […] Read more »
The midterms have shown that President Trump’s campaign rhetoric on the economy has come back to haunt him
… The Democrats’ relative success in the mid-terms appears hard to explain in terms of the economy. Growth in the United States for the last two quarters is estimated at 4.2 and 3.5 per cent, respectively. The Democrats’ primary campaign message was about health care, an issue that has played […] Read more »
The Democratic wave is now apparent: What we know 3 weeks after the election
On behalf of Women’s Voices, Women Vote Action Fund, Democracy Corps has conducted an ‘Election Night’ survey of 1,250 registered and 2018 voters nationally, including of 900 voters in 15 battleground states in 2018 and 2020. This post-election study shows that Democrats were able to create a powerful brew that […] Read more »
In Mississippi Senate Race, the Suburbs Won’t Save Democrat Mike Espy
Democrats swept back control of the U.S. House this month due to dominance in suburban districts. But in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate runoff Tuesday, Republicans have two big advantages. Not only is Mississippi one of the country’s least suburban states, it’s also sharply divided by one of the few factors that […] Read more »