On Monday, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional map for 2018 that’s close to a best-case scenario for Democrats. The map, drawn by a court-appointed special master, doesn’t just undo the gerrymander that’s produced a 13-5 seat GOP edge since 2012. It goes further, actively compensating for Democrats’ […] Read more »
The places that will decide the 2018 midterm elections
Red pockets. Romneyland. Blue-collar blues. Those labels describe the three groups of seats in the House of Representatives that will likely determine control of the chamber in November’s midterm election. … This battlefield reflects the long-term trends that have seen Democrats demonstrate increasing strength up and down the ballot in […] Read more »
The New Pennsylvania House Districts Are In. We Review the Mapmakers’ Choices.
Perhaps no event will do more to reshape the fight for control of the House than the new congressional map just released by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. At stake was the fate of a Republican gerrymander that intended to cement a 13-5 Republican advantage in an evenly divided state. Now […] Read more »
Tax Overhaul Gains Public Support, Buoying Republicans
The tax overhaul that President Trump signed into law now has more supporters than opponents, buoying Republican hopes for this year’s congressional elections. The growing public support for the law coincides with an eroding Democratic lead when voters are asked which party they would like to see control Congress. And […] Read more »
Republicans becoming more bullish about midterms
The Republican Party has undergone an improbable transformation amid the swirl of scandals and controversy engulfing its leader in the White House. While it certainly cannot be called love, the forced marriage of Donald Trump and the GOP has begun its second year in a state of positive equilibrium — […] Read more »
Republican Candidates Face a Dilemma on Trump
Unlike this year’s U.S. Senate races, which are mainly being fought in Trump-friendly states, many of the most contested House electoral battles are for Republican-held seats in more Democratic-leaning places. That enhances the odds of Democrats winning control of the House and presents a dilemma for Republican incumbents: Do they […] Read more »