Ronald Brownstein: An analysis of the 2018 midterms and a look ahead to the primaries and general election in 2020. Conversations with Bill Kristol Read more »
Target 2020: the Independent Male Voter
Conventional wisdom holds that Republicans lost control of the House of Representatives because they got clobbered among college-educated women. They did take a beating in that demographic, but opposition from college-educated women doesn’t account for why the GOP lost. The real reason Republicans lost 40 House seats? They lost Independent […] Read more »
Despite Big House Losses, G.O.P. Shows No Signs of Course Correction
With a brutal finality, the extent of the Republicans’ collapse in the House came into focus last week as more races slipped away from them and their losses neared 40 seats. Yet nearly a month after the election, there has been little self-examination among Republicans about why a midterm that […] Read more »
What The Heck Is Happening In That North Carolina House Race?
After three weeks of waiting, we thought every U.S. House race in the country was finally decided. No such luck. FiveThirtyEight has uncalled the North Carolina 9th District — an extremely close race that we thought the Republican had won — in light of allegations of voter fraud that, it […] Read more »
The Trump Effect in California’s Blue Wave Mid-Term Election
by Mark DiCamillo In the final weeks leading up to this year’s November mid-term elections, President Donald Trump encouraged voters across the country to vote as if he were on the ballot. When he said this, it got me to thinking what that might mean for voters here in California. […] Read more »
How President Trump helped the media lose the 2018 midterm elections
The tone of media coverage often reflects the outcome of election campaigns. This is not necessarily because opinion follows media content — it seems just as likely that media reflects the state of public affairs. Either way, there is a considerable body of work that finds a correlation between media […] Read more »