The battle between the parties for control of the closely divided US Senate has become a contest between the exception and the rule. The rule is that over the past quarter century, it has grown much more difficult for even the most talented Senate candidates to win in states that […] Read more »
No One’s Talking About the New Tax Law
President Trump went to West Virginia this month to talk about tax cuts, but he got a bit distracted. He talked about China, the North American Free Trade Agreement, border security, “sanctuary cities” and states he won in 2016. Eventually he turned to his prepared comments on taxes. “This was […] Read more »
Democrats Have The Wind At Their Backs, But Can They Capitalize?
Political calculations can change about as quickly as the news. Just look at past week: The news that a speaker of the House announced his retirement and a Robert Mueller Russia investigation that keeps ensnaring people close to the president were drowned out temporarily when President Trump announced a military […] Read more »
Amid the Trump chaos, public opinion is remarkably stable
The latest NBC/WSJ poll — which finds President Trump’s job rating at 39 percent and Democrats leading in congressional preference by seven points — is a reminder of just how stable the polling has been in the Trump Era, even when the news environment hasn’t been stable at all. CONT. […] Read more »
Democrats’ advantage in midterm election support is shrinking
Democrats hold an advantage ahead of the midterm elections, but a Washington Post-ABC News poll shows that edge has narrowed since January, a signal to party leaders and strategists that they could be premature in anticipating a huge wave of victories in November. The poll finds that the gap between […] Read more »
2018 vote margin narrows as Democratic engagement slips
A Democratic advantage in the upcoming midterm elections has narrowed in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with indications of lower engagement among members of the party now out of power in the federal government. CONT. Sofi Sinozich & Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »