Democrats enhanced their prospects for winning control of the House in Tuesday’s coast-to-coast primaries, skirting potential calamity in California and lining up likely gains in New Jersey and possible victories in Iowa and New Mexico. CONT. Carl Hulse & Jonathan Martin, New York Times Read more »
Sometimes The Parties Do Decide, After All
In the wake of the 2016 presidential nomination process, it became fashionable to talk about the declining influence of the two major U.S. political parties on their voters. That’s for pretty good reason. The Republican nomination of Donald Trump, despite his tepid support from Republican elected officials and his frequent […] Read more »
A Midterm Environment Is Beginning to Take Shape, but Beware the Late Decider
It’s June, five months out from the fall elections, and the midterm speculation has gone from a simmer to a slow boil. Over the past year, thanks to an expanding body of survey research, the political conventional wisdom has evolved from wishful thinking (the blue wave is inevitable) to educated […] Read more »
FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast: A Primary Night For Both Parties To Be Happy About
Establishment-backed candidates did well in primaries across the country on Tuesday, and there was good news for Democrats: The party will not be shut out of any House races in California. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team gathered to react to Tuesday’s results and discuss whether there are trends among the […] Read more »
Can Democrats Press Their Home-Court Advantage?
Over the past quarter century, the unmistakable trend in American elections is toward greater alignment between the way states vote for president and the delegations they send to Congress. After Democrats’ strong night in Tuesday’s primaries, the November midterms increasingly look like a test of which party can better defend […] Read more »
‘Top-two’ fears appear overblown and women dominate in Tuesday’s primary elections
The votes are still coming in from California and will for a while at least. We can still at least initially answer the three big questions I posed on Tuesday about California and the other seven states with primaries. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »