… Swing Left’s mission of identifying 78 swing districts, 23 of which would have to be flipped in order to return the Democrats to power in the House, has found a receptive audience. The group has more than 400,000 members and has raised more than $9 million in donations so […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Trump Putin Fallout
Following the Trump/Putin Summit and the President’s European allies trip, there has been bipartisan outrage over Trump’s friendliness towards Russia. Some have called the President’s performance traitorous, disgusting, worrisome – but there’s no evidence that Congress, led by Republicans, will actually do anything. And that’s probably smart politics on their […] Read more »
But, Will It Matter for the Midterms?
Is this going to matter in the midterms? That’s a question I get more than any other. And, it’s one I get with increasing regularity. One day it’s tariffs. The next it’s the Supreme Court. Or family separation at the border. Now, of course, it’s Helsinki. The instinct of many […] Read more »
The Blue Shift Comes to the California Primary
Ned Foley alerted the world to the “blue shift” that has begun to characterize the trends in vote totals after the initial tranche of results are released on election night. The blue shift is the tendency for presidential vote results to trend in a Democratic direction as the count proceeds […] Read more »
A Democratic Blue Wave? Don’t Forget the Republicans’ Big Hill
Democrats are optimistic about riding a so-called blue wave to control of the House this November, and it’s easy to see why. The president’s approval rating is in the low 40s, the Democrats have a comfortable lead in generic congressional polls, and it’s a midterm election year. Historically, it’s a […] Read more »
Culture of Corruption: 2018 Congressional Battleground Survey Results
A new battleground survey of Republican-held congressional districts shows Democrats are poised to make major gains this November, and that—with Republicans in Congress abandoning oversight of the Trump Administration—an anti-corruption theme has the potential to put Democratic candidates over the top by drawing support outside their traditional voting blocs. In […] Read more »